Taking a Look at the Data Behind Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG)

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) is an interesting player in the Consumer Goods space, with a focus on Recreational Vehicles. The stock has been active on the tape, currently trading at $42.32, up from yesterday’s close by 2.89%. Given the stock’s recent action, it seemed like a good time to take a closer look at the company’s recent data.

Fundamental Analysis

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) currently trades with a market capitalization of $7.12 Billion. That value represents a market adjusting for revenues that have been growing by 2.68 % on a quarterly year/year basis as of the company’s last quarterly report.

You can get a sense of how sustainable that is by a levered free cash flow of $825.95 Million over the past twelve months. Generally speaking, earnings are expected to fall in coming quarters. Analysts are forecasting earnings of $1.33 on a per share basis this quarter. Perhaps, that suggests something about why 0.87% of the outstanding share supply is held by institutional investors.

Technical Analysis

We’ve taken a serious look at this stock from a fundamental perspective, but the tale of the tape may offer more hints about what lies under the surface. Looking at the stock’s movement on the chart, Harley-Davidson, Inc. recorded a 52-week high of $56.95. It is now trading 14.63% off that level. The stock is trading $42.13 its 50-day moving average by -0.19%. The stock carved out a 52-week low down at $39.34.

In recent action, Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) has made a move of +1.00% over the past month, which has come on Strong relative transaction volume. Over the trailing year, the stock is underperforming the S&P 500 by 14.61, and it’s gotten there by action that has been less volatile on a day-to-day basis than most other stocks on the exchange. In terms of the mechanics underlying that movement, traders will want to note that the stock is trading on a float of 11.93% with $166.63 Million sitting short, betting on future declines. That suggests something of the likelihood of a short squeeze in shares of HOG.

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