The Case for and Against Vistra Energy Corp. (VST)

Vistra Energy Corp. (VST) is an interesting player in the Utilities space, with a focus on Electric Utilities. The stock has been active on the tape, currently trading at $24.39, up from yesterday’s close by 0.79%. Given the stock’s recent action, it seemed like a good time to take a closer look at the company’s recent data.

Fundamental Analysis

Vistra Energy Corp. (VST) currently trades with a market capitalization of $12.78 Billion. That value represents a market adjusting for revenues that have been falling by -43.63 % on a quarterly year/year basis as of the company’s last quarterly report.

You can get a sense of how sustainable that is by a levered free cash flow of $685 Million over the past twelve months. Generally speaking, earnings are expected to grow in coming quarters. Analysts are forecasting earnings of $0.37 on a per share basis this quarter. Perhaps, that suggests something about why 0.20% of the outstanding share supply is held by institutional investors.

Technical Analysis

Sometimes, we can understand most about a stock by simply looking at how it has been trading. Looking at the stock’s movement on the chart, Vistra Energy Corp. recorded a 52-week high of $24.81. It is now trading 0.42% off that level. The stock is trading $22.99 its 50-day moving average by -1.4%. The stock carved out a 52-week low down at $15.79.

In recent action, Vistra Energy Corp. (VST) has made a move of +5.40% over the past month, which has come on Strong relative transaction volume. Over the trailing year, the stock is underperforming the S&P 500 by 14.57, and it’s gotten there by action that has been less volatile on a day-to-day basis than most other stocks on the exchange. In terms of the mechanics underlying that movement, traders will want to note that the stock is trading on a float of 3.01% with $522.58 Million sitting short, betting on future declines. That suggests something of the likelihood of a short squeeze in shares of VST.

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